·Can the refined oil consumption tax increase for three consecutive years?

On January 13, it was the first time window for the oil price cut this year, and it was also the “12 down” window of oil price cut since the second half of last year. According to the calculation of the price of oil prices lowered in the past, many media determined that after this round of oil price cuts, domestic oil prices will fully enter the “5-yuan era”, and according to this, they have written and planned articles in advance.
What the media and the Chinese did not expect was that the oil price was lowered on January 13th, but the domestic oil price did not fully enter the “5-yuan era”, because the downward adjustment of this round of oil prices and the improvement of the refined oil consumption tax are almost perfectly combined. Come together. According to the notice issued jointly by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation on January 12, starting from January 13, 2015, the tax on the consumption tax of gasoline, naphtha, solvent oil and lubricants will increase by 0.12 yuan per liter. The increase of 1.4 yuan per liter to 1.52 yuan; the tax on the consumption tax of diesel, aviation kerosene and fuel oil increased by 0.1 yuan per liter, from the current 1.1 yuan per liter to 1.2 yuan per liter. This is the third time since November 29th and December 13th, 2014 that China has raised the tax on the consumption tax of refined oil products for the third time in more than one month. As with the second refined oil consumption tax adjustment, the third refined oil consumption tax adjustment has achieved a simultaneous tax increase and price cut.
In just over a month, the domestic refined oil consumption tax has been raised three times in a row, making many car owners who are looking forward to a sharp drop in oil prices feel uncomfortable. For a time, the various sections on the network to regulate the consumption tax on refined oil products are also endless. For example, it is not oil, it is taxes. This also makes the adjustment of refined oil consumption tax become the hottest topic in today's network.
In the face of many car owners questioning the “three consecutive rises” in the consumption tax on refined oil products, the relevant agencies have calculated that “it is still relatively low compared with foreign countries”. The data shows that after three consecutive rises, China's diesel fuel duty tax burden is higher than the United States, equivalent to Japan, and about 10 points lower than the EU countries and South Korea. But considering the gap between the income levels of domestic car owners and the United States, Japan, the EU and South Korea, can car owners be quiet and beautiful men?
The concerns of the owners are not unreasonable. Today, international oil prices are still running fast in the endless channel. As of 21:00 on January 13th, Beijing time, crude oil futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 2.9% to US$44.70 per barrel, and has fallen more than 15% since the beginning of this year. Brent crude oil futures prices for February delivery fell. From 1.96% to $46.48 a barrel, it has fallen 19% this year. According to the rate of decline in oil prices, it takes two months for a ship's oil to be shipped from the Middle East and other places. The road will fall by 40 million US dollars (about 248 million yuan) because of the plunge in oil prices. In this market where oil prices are rapidly falling, the “three consecutive gains” in refined oil consumption tax are easily offset by the plunge in oil prices. However, oil prices will not continue to fall like this. If oil prices stabilize and rebound after three months, and then rise back to more than 60 US dollars per barrel, then car owners will face the "double-lift" pattern of oil prices and refined oil consumption tax, driving costs and Logistics costs will rise dramatically, which in turn will stimulate price increases.
In fact, the owners can understand the original intention of the management to introduce the “three consecutive rises” in the refined oil consumption tax. It is nothing more than worrying that after the oil price falls too fast, people will increase the use rate and increase the environmental pollution, especially the automobile exhaust to the haze weather. Contribution. However, it is extremely rare to raise the refined oil consumption tax three times in such a short time in such a short period of time. From this we can see that when a policy concerning the national economy and the people's livelihood is promulgated, we must maintain certain policy forward-looking and maintain the stability of the policy. We cannot dance according to the dance steps of the market. In other words, if the oil price also goes out of the “12-day losing streak” this year, will the refined oil consumption tax also “12 consecutive gains”?

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