Looking ahead to the future of China's machine tool industry market prospects

From the second half of last year onwards, the world economy, which had gradually recovered from the rest of the world, came to the fore again. Iceland and Greece were on the verge of bankruptcy, followed by the sovereign debt crisis that swept Portugal, Spain, Italy and other euro-zone countries, and then in March in Japan. The earthquake, as well as the United States' downgrade of sovereign debt due to poor economic prospects and huge debts, the frequent occurrence of “black swan” has led to severe turmoil in global capital markets. This series of events has added to the already fragile world economy. The uncertainties have increased dramatically. Many economists, including the famous Dr. Lupin, even predict that the world economy will bottom out inevitably.

In China, as the major export target countries, such as the United States, Europe, and Japan, have experienced a sharp decline in demand, the traditional economy driven by exports, investment, and domestic demand has also been dragged down by the decline in exports, and the gradual withdrawal of economic stimulus plans. Economic growth will slow down. It is expected that China's future economic growth will mainly be driven by the growth of domestic demand.

In spite of this, people in the industry generally believe that China's economy is generally good, and in the transformation of the economic development mode, the adjustment and upgrading of the national economy, the development plans of all regions in China have all become national strategies, and the rise of strategic emerging industries and many other Driven by factors, China's machine tool industry will usher in a new round of development opportunities. In fact, statistics show that in the first half of this year, China’s GDP was 20.4 trillion yuan, an increase of 9.6% year-on-year; fixed assets investment was 12.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%. From the major economic indicators for the first half of 2011, China’s economic growth has shifted from a rapid growth stimulated by previous policies to a stable growth. The increase in investment in fixed assets has effectively promoted the sound development of the machine tool industry and stimulated the booming demand in the machine tool market. According to the data from the China Machine Tool Industry Association, in the first half of the year, China's metal processing machine tool industry completed a total industrial output value of 98.12 billion yuan, an increase of 32.9%. Among them, the gold-cutting machine tool industry completed a total industrial output value of 71.2 billion yuan, an increase of 30.4%, the metal forming machine tool industry completed an industrial output value of 26.92 billion yuan, an increase of 40.1% (last year's data: metal processing machine tool industry completed the total The output value was US$20.91 billion, an increase of 35.1% year-on-year, of which the gold-cutting machine tool industry achieved a total industrial output value of US$15.47 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33.5%, and the forming machine tool industry achieved an industrial output value of US$5.44 billion, an increase of 42.4% year-on-year. The machine tool market consumed a total of 28.48 billion US dollars, accounting for half of the global metal processing machine tool consumption).

Confidence is More Valuable than Gold is More Important than Opportunity Certainly, under the circumstances that the current global financial crisis is not completely over, and the uncertainties of the global economic outlook are complex and changeable, how does China's machine tool industry cope with it calmly? problem. Miao Wei, Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, pointed out in the speech at the Fourth Session of the Standing Committee of the 6th China Machine Tool Industry Association that China's machine tool industry should pay attention to three combinations. The first combination is to meet the national "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". , Combined with the structural adjustment plan of the industrial industry; the second combination should be combined with the development of a strategic emerging industry; the third combination should be combined with the reality of the machine tool industry.

In conjunction with the structural adjustment planning of the industrial industry, it is necessary to pay close attention to the needs and development of downstream user industries and to meet their ongoing needs. During the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period, China’s automotive, aerospace, shipbuilding and other major machine tool industries have developed rapidly. In the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” and a considerable period of time to come, the demand for machine tools, especially high-end CNC machine tools, will increase. For instance, the C919 large-aircraft project has a total investment of 200 billion yuan, of which investment in manufacturing capacity-building is expected to be 30 billion yuan. Its demand for high-end machine tools is extremely high. Whether it is the processing accuracy requirements or the application of complex shaped machining surfaces and difficult-to-machine materials, it is unmatched in other fields, including high-speed, precision, high-efficiency, composite CNC machine tools, and five-axis machining centers. Other key manufacturing equipment, as well as modern and efficient tools, are all urgently needed equipment. In the shipbuilding industry, China’s shipbuilding industry continued to grow steadily after China’s replacement of Japan and South Korea and became the world’s largest shipbuilding country. In the first half of this year, shipbuilding completed a volume of 30.92 million dwt, and new orders received 21.6 million dwt. It is planned that by 2015, the annual shipbuilding capacity for the development and construction of high-tech, high-value-added ships will reach 28 million dwt and the annual output will be 22 million dwt; the annual production capacity of marine low- and medium-speed diesel engines will reach 6 million kilowatts and 1,200,000 respectively. station. Shipbuilding companies need heavy-duty and super heavy-duty high-end CNC machine tools, such as boring and milling machines for gantry boring mills, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC boring and milling machines for five linkages, crankshaft turning and milling centers, large crankshaft grinding machines, and sheet metal processing equipment, which will bring further development to the machine tool industry. Major opportunities.

As for the largest consumer automotive industry in the machine tool industry, after years of rapid growth, China has developed into the world's number one automobile producer and the largest consumer of automobiles. Compared with the world's per capita car ownership, China's per capita car consumption still has a lot of room for growth. Therefore, in the future, the automobile industry will continue to be China's pillar industry and will maintain stable and high-speed growth. In the future, the Chinese auto industry will invest huge sums of money to expand production capacity and transform existing automobile production lines. The large number of high-speed, high-efficiency and high-reliability CNC machine tools required by the automotive industry will mainly rely on domestic machine tool companies.

As one of the strategic emerging industries, new energy industries, such as wind power, hydropower, and nuclear power projects, require a large number of high-reliability, large-scale, high-stiffness CNC machine tools, such as heavy-duty CNC boring mills and heavy-duty CNC boring mills. , heavy-duty vertical lathes, blade processing machines and special processing machines for blade root slots.

Comprehensive analysis of needs in all aspects, China's machine tool industry after undergoing the test of the impact of the financial crisis, will usher in a new round of more healthy and healthy development period. The Yangtze River Delta Region, as the center of China's economy and manufacturing industry, has assembled large industrial clusters such as automobiles, ships, aerospace, and new energy, including Shanghai Volkswagen, Shanghai General Motors, Nanjing Iveco, Geely Automobile, Chery Automobile, Ankai, and JAC. Other auto companies and auto parts companies are located in the Changxing Island outside the Yangtze River mouth of Shanghai. There are a large number of domestic ships such as Jiangnan Shipyard, Shanghai Hudong Shipyard, Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipyard and Shanghai Shipyard under the China Shipbuilding Group. The giants of the industry are camped out. These user industry enterprises have a large demand for machine tools and have high requirements. This objectively promotes the overall level of China's machine tool industry.